Return Attribution — Third Point

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Clone backtest (value-weighted, one-quarter signal lag): each position's contribution = its portfolio weight × next-quarter return. Contribution sums equal the segment return of the clone.

Third Point (13F portfolio cloned at quarter-end weights) delivered a -7.32% return over the 2026-Q2 → latest period. The clone return is the sum of each position's contribution — portfolio weight times next-quarter price return.

Top drivers in 2026-Q2 → latest: AMZN (+0.86%), KEYS (+0.43%), GOOGL (+0.39%). Biggest drags: MTZ (-1.33%), CRH (-1.31%), CRS (-1.15%). Across all 20 segmented periods, 34 stocks made a positive cumulative contribution and 46 subtracted from performance.

This attribution is a diagnostic tool, not a trading signal. The clone uses end-of-quarter holdings (45+ days after filing, so stale by design), applies quarter-end prices only, and ignores intra-quarter trades, shorts, and derivatives that 13F cannot show.

2026-Q2 → latest segment return -7.32%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AMZN 9.9% +8.7% +0.86%
KEYS 4.9% +9.0% +0.43%
GOOGL 0.2% +162.0% +0.39%
DHR 2.4% +14.9% +0.36%
ARES 1.0% +4.0% +0.04%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MTZ 2.9% -46.3% -1.33%
CRH 5.6% -23.6% -1.31%
CRS 3.1% -36.6% -1.15%
FLEX 4.0% -26.4% -1.04%
SGI 4.8% -21.0% -1.0%

2026-Q1 → 2026-Q2 segment return +14.55%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
CRS 5.9% +56.6% +3.32%
HUT 2.0% +146.1% +2.86%
AMZN 19.4% +14.1% +2.74%
TSM 4.5% +39.6% +1.77%
MTZ 4.9% +29.3% +1.45%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
TDS 13.3% -12.0% -1.6%
KLAC 0.8% -79.4% -0.62%
GLD 2.0% -14.4% -0.28%
META 2.5% -2.5% -0.06%
FLYX 0.1% -11.5% -0.01%

2025-Q4 → 2026-Q1 segment return -5.03%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MTZ 3.0% +48.0% +1.44%
CASY 3.7% +31.7% +1.19%
CRS 3.7% +25.3% +0.93%
FIX 1.5% +47.8% +0.7%
UNP 6.2% +5.4% +0.34%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MSFT 6.7% -22.8% -1.52%
CSGP 3.2% -39.8% -1.26%
COF 4.0% -24.8% -0.98%
SGI 4.5% -17.0% -0.77%
CRH 4.8% -15.5% -0.75%

2025-Q3 → 2025-Q4 segment return -0.43%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
CRS 2.5% +28.3% +0.72%
COF 3.6% +14.0% +0.5%
AMZN 7.5% +5.4% +0.41%
TSM 3.7% +9.6% +0.36%
FIX 2.0% +13.2% +0.26%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
CSGP 3.1% -20.3% -0.63%
FLUT 3.5% -15.3% -0.53%
MSFT 6.9% -6.1% -0.42%
PRMB 1.6% -25.5% -0.4%
VST 2.2% -17.5% -0.39%

2025-Q2 → 2025-Q3 segment return +4.89%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
TLN 3.3% +46.3% +1.53%
NVDA 6.4% +17.9% +1.15%
TSM 4.7% +22.9% +1.08%
CRH 3.4% +30.6% +1.05%
FIX 1.4% +54.0% +0.78%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PRMB 2.5% -25.1% -0.62%
KVUE 2.6% -22.5% -0.58%
FLUT 4.4% -11.1% -0.49%
CPAY 3.3% -13.2% -0.43%
LPLA 3.4% -11.3% -0.38%

2025-Q1 → 2025-Q2 segment return +13.24%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
TSM 5.2% +37.2% +1.94%
CRS 2.8% +52.7% +1.46%
NVDA 2.8% +46.5% +1.29%
AMZN 7.9% +16.0% +1.26%
VST 1.8% +65.2% +1.15%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
KVUE 3.8% -12.7% -0.48%
TDS 4.6% -8.0% -0.37%
PRMB 1.7% -16.3% -0.28%
CPAY 3.7% -4.8% -0.18%
FTV 2.5% -5.4% -0.13%

2024-Q4 → 2025-Q1 segment return -6.13%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
ICE 4.8% +16.1% +0.77%
TDS 3.2% +13.7% +0.43%
EQT 2.1% +15.9% +0.33%
PRMB 1.1% +15.7% +0.18%
CRS 2.3% +6.9% +0.16%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AMZN 11.7% -13.9% -1.63%
TSLA 3.1% -36.3% -1.13%
TSM 5.4% -16.6% -0.91%
DHR 6.7% -10.6% -0.71%
FLUT 3.5% -14.3% -0.5%

2024-Q3 → 2024-Q4 segment return +4.45%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AMZN 9.3% +18.3% +1.7%
VST 5.1% +16.5% +0.84%
TSLA 1.4% +53.4% +0.75%
LYV 3.4% +18.3% +0.63%
TSM 4.2% +13.8% +0.58%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
DHR 7.3% -17.3% -1.26%
CVS 1.3% -27.8% -0.37%
ICE 4.5% -7.0% -0.31%
FERG 2.6% -12.2% -0.31%
ROP 1.8% -6.3% -0.11%

2024-Q2 → 2024-Q3 segment return +5.68%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
VST 4.5% +38.2% +1.72%
PCG 11.0% +13.6% +1.5%
META 6.5% +13.3% +0.86%
DHR 6.0% +11.4% +0.68%
CNK 1.8% +28.8% +0.51%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AMZN 11.5% -3.9% -0.45%
AAP 1.1% -38.2% -0.42%
MSFT 8.3% -4.1% -0.34%
ASML 1.0% -18.5% -0.18%
VZ 2.3% -4.5% -0.1%

2024-Q1 → 2024-Q2 segment return +4.22%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
VST 4.1% +23.8% +0.97%
AMZN 12.1% +7.5% +0.91%
MSFT 9.8% +6.5% +0.64%
TSM 2.1% +27.8% +0.58%
PCG 12.7% +4.1% +0.52%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AAP 1.7% -25.3% -0.42%
CPAY 2.6% -13.7% -0.36%
AIG 3.5% -4.5% -0.16%
UBER 0.5% -5.5% -0.03%
IT 0.3% -5.8% -0.02%

2023-Q4 → 2024-Q1 segment return +9.06%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
META 6.4% +37.6% +2.4%
VST 2.8% +81.4% +2.25%
AMZN 9.9% +18.5% +1.84%
MSFT 11.8% +11.8% +1.39%
DHR 7.4% +8.1% +0.59%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PCG 16.2% -7.1% -1.15%
VZ 2.7% -5.5% -0.15%
TDS 0.6% -11.7% -0.07%
ICE 1.4% +7.4% +0.1%
IFF 2.6% +6.7% +0.17%

2023-Q3 → 2023-Q4 segment return +10.58%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MSFT 11.0% +18.9% +2.08%
AMZN 9.3% +19.5% +1.82%
PCG 14.4% +11.7% +1.69%
UBER 3.0% +33.9% +1.03%
META 5.2% +17.8% +0.92%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
HTZ 1.4% -15.4% -0.22%
GOOGL 1.8% +0.0% +0.0%
TDS 0.9% +1.2% +0.01%
RRX 1.5% +3.8% +0.06%
VST 1.9% +16.8% +0.31%

2023-Q2 → 2023-Q3 segment return -2.81%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
VST 1.3% +27.2% +0.36%
DHR 9.4% +3.4% +0.32%
AIG 2.6% +5.9% +0.15%
BABA 3.7% +4.0% +0.15%
UBER 1.8% +6.6% +0.12%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PCG 14.1% -6.7% -0.94%
HTZ 2.0% -32.9% -0.67%
MSFT 7.8% -7.3% -0.57%
TSM 3.7% -14.2% -0.53%
HCA 2.7% -18.9% -0.52%

2023-Q1 → 2023-Q2 segment return +2.22%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PCG 16.1% +6.7% +1.08%
MSFT 5.1% +18.0% +0.92%
HCA 3.8% +15.1% +0.58%
AIG 2.5% +15.0% +0.38%
AMD 1.6% +16.2% +0.27%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
DHR 11.7% -4.7% -0.54%
IFF 3.9% -12.5% -0.5%
BABA 2.3% -18.5% -0.42%
UNH 2.7% -1.2% -0.03%
GOOGL 8.3% +0.0% +0.0%

2022-Q4 → 2023-Q1 segment return -1.54%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MSFT 4.8% +20.1% +0.97%
DIS 1.4% +15.2% +0.21%
HTZ 1.4% +6.4% +0.09%
JBLU 0.1% +12.2% +0.01%
TJX 3.6% -1.6% -0.06%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AIG 5.5% -19.8% -1.09%
DHR 12.2% -4.9% -0.6%
UNH 6.1% -8.5% -0.51%
IFF 4.1% -11.4% -0.47%
PCG 16.4% -0.6% -0.09%

2022-Q3 → 2022-Q4 segment return +5.32%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PCG 14.8% +29.0% +4.29%
CL 15.1% +12.2% +1.84%
BBWI 4.9% +29.3% +1.45%
DD 2.2% +36.2% +0.81%
TJX 2.0% +28.0% +0.57%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
S 9.0% -42.9% -3.88%
EQT 2.5% -17.0% -0.42%
CRK 1.0% -20.7% -0.2%
DIS 2.5% -8.1% -0.2%
HTZ 1.6% -5.6% -0.09%

2022-Q2 → 2022-Q3 segment return +4.65%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PCG 15.7% +24.9% +3.9%
EQT 6.2% +18.5% +1.15%
S 11.8% +9.6% +1.13%
DHR 14.0% +2.0% +0.28%
OVV 6.5% +4.1% +0.27%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
CVE 3.3% -19.1% -0.64%
CL 3.8% -12.3% -0.47%
DD 4.1% -9.3% -0.38%
CSX 3.5% -8.0% -0.28%
CCK 1.8% -12.1% -0.21%

2022-Q1 → 2022-Q2 segment return -10.23%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
SU 1.5% +7.6% +0.11%
WDC 0.1% -12.0% -0.01%
UNH 4.1% -0.8% -0.03%
WGS 0.2% -59.0% -0.1%
IR 1.0% -16.4% -0.17%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PCG 10.9% -16.6% -1.81%
AA 2.8% -49.8% -1.4%
DHR 9.6% -13.5% -1.29%
RIVN 2.0% -48.8% -0.98%
SPGI 5.2% -17.8% -0.92%

2021-Q4 → 2022-Q1 segment return -7.37%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
UNH 2.8% +2.8% +0.08%
AES 1.0% +6.6% +0.07%
TDG 1.5% +2.4% +0.04%
GOOGL 4.3% +0.0% +0.0%
PCG 6.6% -0.3% -0.02%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
RIVN 2.9% -51.5% -1.48%
INTU 5.2% -25.2% -1.31%
DHR 6.7% -10.8% -0.72%
ACN 3.6% -18.4% -0.67%
AVTR 3.2% -19.7% -0.63%

2021-Q3 → 2021-Q4 segment return +2.47%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PCG 4.4% +26.5% +1.16%
INTU 3.3% +19.2% +0.64%
MSFT 2.5% +19.3% +0.49%
UNH 1.5% +28.4% +0.42%
SPGI 2.4% +11.1% +0.26%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
DIS 3.9% -8.7% -0.34%
CSGP 2.7% -8.2% -0.22%
INTC 2.7% -3.5% -0.09%
V 1.7% -2.8% -0.05%
META 1.9% -0.7% -0.01%

Cumulative Contribution (all segments)

Top 10 drivers

  1. PCG +10.21%
  2. AMZN +8.24%
  3. VST +6.85%
  4. TSM +6.12%
  5. CRS +5.2%
  6. META +4.16%
  7. MSFT +3.26%
  8. LYV +2.29%
  9. NVDA +2.27%
  10. TLN +2.25%

Top 10 drags

  1. S -2.75%
  2. RIVN -2.46%
  3. CSGP -2.38%
  4. DHR -2.3%
  5. INTU -1.59%
  6. AA -1.4%
  7. HTZ -1.29%
  8. PRMB -1.12%
  9. SGI -1.08%
  10. FLEX -1.04%