Return Attribution — Oaktree Capital Management

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Clone backtest (value-weighted, one-quarter signal lag): each position's contribution = its portfolio weight × next-quarter return. Contribution sums equal the segment return of the clone.

Oaktree Capital Management (13F portfolio cloned at quarter-end weights) delivered a +13.56% return over the 2026-Q2 → latest period. The clone return is the sum of each position's contribution — portfolio weight times next-quarter price return.

Top drivers in 2026-Q2 → latest: XP (+5.00%), AU (+2.60%), ITUB (+2.45%). Biggest drags: MMYT (-1.15%), BTAI (-0.58%), SE (-0.10%). Across all 20 segmented periods, 26 stocks made a positive cumulative contribution and 26 subtracted from performance.

This attribution is a diagnostic tool, not a trading signal. The clone uses end-of-quarter holdings (45+ days after filing, so stale by design), applies quarter-end prices only, and ignores intra-quarter trades, shorts, and derivatives that 13F cannot show.

2026-Q2 → latest segment return +13.56%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
XP 6.2% +81.1% +5.0%
AU 23.6% +11.0% +2.6%
ITUB 11.8% +20.7% +2.45%
FCX 9.0% +14.6% +1.31%
B 15.4% +6.9% +1.07%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MMYT 6.2% -18.5% -1.15%
BTAI 0.6% -96.5% -0.58%
SE 7.0% -1.4% -0.1%
PEB 0.1% -3.6% -0.0%
ALVO 0.5% +58.5% +0.28%

2026-Q1 → 2026-Q2 segment return -9.13%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
FCX 7.7% +5.9% +0.46%
EMBJ 2.9% +7.7% +0.23%
HDB 5.5% +3.8% +0.21%
JBLU 0.7% +29.6% +0.21%
TX 2.7% +6.4% +0.17%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AU 26.2% -17.1% -4.48%
PBR 14.0% -22.1% -3.11%
B 12.8% -10.2% -1.3%
XP 6.7% -15.0% -1.0%
ITUB 11.2% -4.2% -0.47%

2025-Q4 → 2026-Q1 segment return -1.56%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AU 25.6% +14.0% +3.6%
ITUB 10.3% +17.8% +1.83%
FCX 7.2% +16.4% +1.18%
XP 5.7% +16.4% +0.93%
TX 2.7% +5.1% +0.14%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
HDB 8.7% -31.1% -2.71%
GRAB 6.1% -26.7% -1.62%
BZ 3.4% -34.3% -1.15%
NU 7.5% -14.2% -1.07%
YMM 4.2% -22.7% -0.94%

2025-Q3 → 2025-Q4 segment return +7.42%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AU 25.3% +21.3% +5.37%
B 11.6% +32.9% +3.8%
FCX 5.8% +30.4% +1.77%
HDB 8.5% +5.8% +0.5%
TX 3.3% +10.0% +0.33%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
GRAB 7.7% -17.1% -1.32%
YMM 5.3% -16.3% -0.86%
SE 2.7% -28.6% -0.77%
BZ 4.0% -12.8% -0.51%
XP 4.0% -12.3% -0.5%

2025-Q2 → 2025-Q3 segment return +15.59%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AU 20.6% +55.5% +11.45%
B 7.0% +57.8% +4.06%
GRAB 6.2% +19.7% +1.21%
BZ 2.9% +30.9% +0.91%
ITUB 7.9% +8.0% +0.63%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
INDA 21.2% -6.5% -1.38%
HDB 9.2% -10.9% -1.0%
FCX 8.8% -10.6% -0.93%
YPF 2.1% -22.5% -0.46%
ALVO 1.2% -10.2% -0.12%

2025-Q1 → 2025-Q2 segment return +6.8%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AU 18.5% +22.6% +4.2%
INDA 19.0% +8.2% +1.55%
FCX 7.9% +14.9% +1.18%
HDB 6.6% +15.4% +1.02%
ITUB 3.8% +23.6% +0.9%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
JD 3.9% -20.5% -0.8%
GOLD 4.9% -12.6% -0.62%
EC 3.2% -15.2% -0.49%
PBR 3.8% -12.8% -0.48%
BEKE 2.5% -10.9% -0.27%

2024-Q4 → 2025-Q1 segment return +10.64%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AU 14.0% +60.7% +8.49%
BZ 2.9% +38.9% +1.11%
JD 5.8% +18.3% +1.06%
NTES 4.2% +15.4% +0.64%
PDD 3.0% +21.4% +0.64%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
ALVO 2.7% -26.9% -0.73%
INFY 4.2% -16.7% -0.71%
MESO 1.7% -37.0% -0.62%
TCOM 5.6% -7.5% -0.42%
INDA 17.4% -2.2% -0.38%

2024-Q3 → 2024-Q4 segment return -6.11%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
YPF 1.5% +103.4% +1.58%
TCOM 4.0% +15.7% +0.63%
ALVO 1.7% +11.2% +0.19%
HDB 5.7% +2.0% +0.12%
GH 0.0% +33.2% +0.01%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
FCX 9.9% -23.4% -2.31%
AU 12.2% -13.5% -1.65%
ITUB 4.8% -25.3% -1.22%
PDD 3.2% -26.9% -0.85%
JD 6.5% -12.4% -0.8%

2024-Q2 → 2024-Q3 segment return +7.52%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
JD 8.3% +53.1% +4.42%
AU 16.9% +6.2% +1.04%
TCOM 3.0% +26.1% +0.78%
ITUB 4.1% +13.4% +0.55%
BABA 1.0% +46.6% +0.47%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
HDB 4.8% -2.7% -0.13%
TX 3.7% -1.7% -0.06%
ALVO 1.4% -2.1% -0.03%
PBR 6.8% -0.2% -0.01%
GH 0.0% -20.6% -0.01%

2024-Q1 → 2024-Q2 segment return -0.95%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AU 12.9% +12.2% +1.58%
IBN 7.1% +9.3% +0.66%
HDB 3.4% +14.9% +0.5%
FCX 13.9% +3.1% +0.43%
YPF 1.1% +1.6% +0.02%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
LI 3.0% -41.0% -1.23%
ITUB 6.0% -15.7% -0.95%
BIDU 4.4% -17.9% -0.79%
TX 4.1% -9.9% -0.4%
JD 6.2% -6.2% -0.38%

2023-Q4 → 2024-Q1 segment return +3.87%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AU 10.2% +20.8% +2.11%
FCX 11.8% +10.8% +1.27%
IBN 6.5% +10.6% +0.69%
HTHT 3.5% +15.7% +0.55%
ALVO 5.4% +6.4% +0.35%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
HDB 2.2% -16.6% -0.37%
PBR 7.1% -4.6% -0.33%
JD 6.1% -4.8% -0.29%
TX 3.9% -1.8% -0.07%
BABA 0.9% -6.5% -0.06%

2023-Q3 → 2023-Q4 segment return +7.59%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AU 9.2% +17.2% +1.58%
FCX 11.1% +14.0% +1.55%
ITUB 4.7% +32.1% +1.5%
ALVO 4.3% +25.9% +1.12%
BAP 4.1% +17.2% +0.7%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
JD 5.6% -0.6% -0.03%
SE 0.0% -8.1% -0.0%
ETSY 0.0% +25.5% +0.0%
WDC 0.0% +14.5% +0.0%
LITE 0.0% +16.0% +0.0%

2023-Q2 → 2023-Q3 segment return -0.49%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
ALVO 6.0% +17.8% +1.07%
PBR 11.5% +9.2% +1.06%
IBN 8.9% +0.2% +0.02%
TX 4.1% +0.3% +0.01%
WDC 0.1% +20.3% +0.01%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
FCX 10.9% -6.0% -0.66%
BAP 4.3% -13.3% -0.58%
JD 3.6% -14.8% -0.54%
ITUB 4.7% -10.6% -0.5%
YPF 1.8% -18.0% -0.32%

2023-Q1 → 2023-Q2 segment return +0.54%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PBR 9.7% +31.4% +3.04%
ITUB 6.8% +19.6% +1.34%
BAP 6.4% +17.3% +1.11%
YPF 2.5% +36.0% +0.92%
IBN 9.3% +7.0% +0.65%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
ALVO 15.3% -40.0% -6.11%
FCX 12.6% -3.1% -0.39%
TX 2.4% -3.6% -0.09%
BL 0.0% -19.9% -0.0%
SE 0.0% -33.2% -0.0%

2022-Q4 → 2023-Q1 segment return +5.05%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
ALVO 11.4% +29.0% +3.31%
FCX 13.5% +7.9% +1.07%
TX 2.1% +35.0% +0.72%
ITUB 7.7% +4.1% +0.31%
SPOT 0.0% +69.2% +0.03%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
BAP 7.6% -2.4% -0.18%
IBN 11.1% -1.4% -0.16%
PBR 11.3% -1.3% -0.15%
DBX 0.0% -3.4% -0.0%
BL 0.0% -0.2% -0.0%

2022-Q3 → 2022-Q4 segment return +8.55%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
VALE 15.8% +27.4% +4.34%
FCX 9.8% +39.0% +3.83%
ALVO 7.7% +47.9% +3.71%
BAP 6.9% +10.5% +0.73%
IBN 11.9% +4.4% +0.52%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PBR 12.7% -13.7% -1.75%
BBD 6.2% -21.7% -1.34%
ITUB 12.4% -9.2% -1.13%
PAGS 3.1% -33.9% -1.06%
ALRM 0.0% -23.7% -0.0%

2022-Q2 → 2022-Q3 segment return +2.78%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
IBN 12.5% +18.3% +2.29%
ITUB 10.3% +21.4% +2.21%
PBR 17.8% +5.7% +1.01%
AFYA 2.0% +36.3% +0.73%
BBD 5.5% +12.9% +0.71%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
ALVO 10.7% -17.7% -1.88%
VALE 14.6% -9.0% -1.31%
FCX 9.9% -6.4% -0.64%
TX 2.5% -24.1% -0.6%
UPLD 0.0% -44.0% -0.01%

2022-Q1 → 2022-Q2 segment return -15.79%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
DBX 0.0% -9.7% -0.0%
INSM 0.0% -17.0% -0.01%
SE 0.0% -44.0% -0.01%
SPOT 0.0% -37.7% -0.01%
MTN 0.1% -15.5% -0.01%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
FCX 12.3% -41.6% -5.12%
PBR 16.4% -21.3% -3.5%
ITUB 10.2% -24.9% -2.54%
BAP 7.0% -28.1% -1.97%
CX 7.5% -25.9% -1.94%

2021-Q4 → 2022-Q1 segment return +11.39%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PBR 15.1% +35.6% +5.38%
ITUB 8.3% +50.1% +4.18%
FCX 12.8% +19.9% +2.55%
BAP 6.2% +40.8% +2.52%
PEB 0.1% +11.5% +0.01%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
CX 11.9% -22.0% -2.62%
IBN 12.9% -4.2% -0.55%
MTN 0.2% -20.0% -0.04%
GH 0.1% -33.8% -0.02%
INSM 0.1% -12.8% -0.01%

2021-Q3 → 2021-Q4 segment return +1.6%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
FCX 5.0% +28.1% +1.41%
PBR 7.3% +5.9% +0.43%
IBN 8.0% +4.9% +0.39%
ITUB 5.2% -12.1% -0.63%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
ITUB 5.2% -12.1% -0.63%
IBN 8.0% +4.9% +0.39%
PBR 7.3% +5.9% +0.43%
FCX 5.0% +28.1% +1.41%

Cumulative Contribution (all segments)

Top 10 drivers

  1. AU +35.89%
  2. ITUB +8.47%
  3. FCX +8.22%
  4. B +6.7%
  5. XP +4.16%
  6. IBN +4.08%
  7. VALE +3.56%
  8. YPF +2.64%
  9. JD +2.64%
  10. BAP +2.49%

Top 10 drags

  1. CX -3.97%
  2. YMM -1.61%
  3. HDB -1.55%
  4. LI -1.23%
  5. GRAB -1.22%
  6. INFY -1.19%
  7. MMYT -1.15%
  8. PAGS -1.06%
  9. BIDU -0.92%
  10. SE -0.82%