Return Attribution — Lone Pine Capital

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Clone backtest (value-weighted, one-quarter signal lag): each position's contribution = its portfolio weight × next-quarter return. Contribution sums equal the segment return of the clone.

Lone Pine Capital (13F portfolio cloned at quarter-end weights) delivered a -20.64% return over the 2026-Q2 → latest period. The clone return is the sum of each position's contribution — portfolio weight times next-quarter price return.

Top drivers in 2026-Q2 → latest: NU (+0.58%), LPLA (+0.35%), MCK (+0.06%). Biggest drags: GLW (-1.71%), MTZ (-1.64%), WULF (-1.63%). Across all 20 segmented periods, 40 stocks made a positive cumulative contribution and 29 subtracted from performance.

This attribution is a diagnostic tool, not a trading signal. The clone uses end-of-quarter holdings (45+ days after filing, so stale by design), applies quarter-end prices only, and ignores intra-quarter trades, shorts, and derivatives that 13F cannot show.

2026-Q2 → latest segment return -20.64%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
NU 3.9% +15.1% +0.58%
LPLA 2.1% +16.4% +0.35%
MCK 0.3% +23.1% +0.06%
V 0.3% +9.4% +0.03%
IBKR 0.3% -0.6% -0.0%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
GLW 4.3% -40.2% -1.71%
MTZ 3.4% -47.9% -1.64%
WULF 3.6% -44.7% -1.63%
AMAT 5.3% -29.7% -1.58%
APP 3.3% -45.6% -1.5%

2026-Q1 → 2026-Q2 segment return +27.17%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
GLW 4.0% +88.1% +3.55%
ASML 6.9% +49.6% +3.42%
HUT 2.3% +146.1% +3.32%
CRS 5.7% +56.6% +3.23%
TER 4.4% +63.1% +2.79%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MDLN 4.2% -11.4% -0.48%
MCK 2.7% -12.7% -0.34%
LPLA 4.9% -6.4% -0.31%
NU 4.4% -7.0% -0.31%
THC 3.4% -0.9% -0.03%

2025-Q4 → 2026-Q1 segment return -9.5%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
ASML 4.8% +23.8% +1.13%
TSM 6.8% +11.7% +0.8%
CRS 3.0% +25.3% +0.77%
ENTG 1.9% +39.3% +0.74%
CLH 2.4% +22.3% +0.53%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
APP 3.9% -40.4% -1.56%
DASH 4.2% -33.4% -1.4%
CVNA 5.5% -25.3% -1.4%
KKR 4.7% -27.3% -1.28%
COF 4.1% -24.8% -1.01%

2025-Q3 → 2025-Q4 segment return -0.7%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
CIEN 2.1% +60.5% +1.29%
TSM 6.2% +9.6% +0.6%
CVNA 4.8% +12.1% +0.58%
COF 4.0% +14.0% +0.56%
LPLA 5.5% +7.4% +0.4%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
VST 6.7% -17.5% -1.18%
META 7.1% -10.2% -0.72%
SE 2.4% -28.6% -0.7%
FLUT 3.2% -15.3% -0.49%
TLN 3.7% -11.9% -0.44%

2025-Q2 → 2025-Q3 segment return +5.77%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
APP 3.9% +105.2% +4.13%
TSM 5.5% +22.9% +1.27%
TLN 2.3% +46.3% +1.04%
ASML 3.2% +20.8% +0.67%
CVNA 5.2% +12.0% +0.62%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
INTU 4.3% -13.5% -0.59%
LPLA 5.0% -11.3% -0.56%
CRM 3.6% -12.9% -0.47%
FLUT 3.8% -11.1% -0.42%
PM 3.6% -10.9% -0.39%

2025-Q1 → 2025-Q2 segment return +24.42%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
VST 4.7% +65.2% +3.05%
CVNA 4.9% +61.8% +3.01%
META 8.8% +28.8% +2.52%
INTU 7.4% +28.4% +2.11%
MSFT 6.4% +33.0% +2.1%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
SBUX 5.6% -6.3% -0.35%
LLY 3.9% -5.5% -0.22%
CRM 4.0% +1.9% +0.08%
TOL 3.5% +8.1% +0.28%
ARES 2.0% +18.1% +0.37%

2024-Q4 → 2025-Q1 segment return -5.44%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PM 5.8% +33.1% +1.91%
SPOT 3.0% +23.0% +0.7%
HWM 2.5% +18.7% +0.47%
SBUX 4.4% +7.2% +0.31%
LLY 4.5% +6.7% +0.3%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
KKR 4.4% -21.7% -0.97%
TSM 5.5% -16.6% -0.92%
AMZN 6.2% -13.9% -0.86%
XYZ 2.4% -36.1% -0.86%
VST 5.5% -14.7% -0.8%

2024-Q3 → 2024-Q4 segment return +8.98%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
APP 2.3% +148.3% +3.42%
AMZN 7.6% +18.3% +1.39%
CRM 4.8% +22.3% +1.06%
XYZ 3.8% +26.6% +1.02%
VST 6.0% +16.5% +0.99%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
LEN 4.1% -27.0% -1.11%
CEG 4.6% -13.8% -0.64%
ASML 3.4% -16.8% -0.57%
UNH 3.6% -13.6% -0.49%
SBUX 2.9% -6.3% -0.19%

2024-Q2 → 2024-Q3 segment return +10.1%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
APP 3.8% +56.7% +2.18%
VST 4.8% +38.2% +1.82%
KKR 5.5% +24.3% +1.32%
PM 5.5% +21.2% +1.16%
GEV 2.1% +48.7% +1.0%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
ASML 4.9% -18.5% -0.9%
MSFT 7.3% -4.1% -0.3%
AMZN 7.0% -3.9% -0.28%
INTU 4.8% -5.5% -0.27%
TSM 8.5% -0.1% -0.01%

2024-Q1 → 2024-Q2 segment return +3.77%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
TSM 6.6% +27.8% +1.84%
VST 3.5% +23.8% +0.84%
SPOT 3.5% +19.1% +0.67%
PM 4.8% +12.0% +0.58%
APP 2.9% +19.9% +0.58%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
XYZ 4.5% -23.8% -1.07%
CRM 5.7% -14.6% -0.83%
WDAY 3.0% -17.3% -0.53%
LYV 2.7% -11.4% -0.31%
MA 2.6% -8.3% -0.22%

2023-Q4 → 2024-Q1 segment return +13.8%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
META 8.8% +37.6% +3.31%
DKS 3.7% +53.8% +2.0%
TSM 6.3% +31.2% +1.95%
AMZN 7.2% +18.5% +1.33%
KKR 4.5% +21.6% +0.96%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
HDB 2.7% -16.6% -0.45%
UNH 4.1% -6.1% -0.25%
WDAY 3.7% -1.6% -0.06%
PM 2.4% -1.3% -0.03%
BKNG 4.7% +2.3% +0.11%

2023-Q3 → 2023-Q4 segment return +15.76%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
WDAY 5.3% +28.0% +1.5%
CRM 4.9% +29.8% +1.45%
META 8.0% +17.8% +1.43%
KKR 3.9% +34.8% +1.36%
AMZN 6.7% +19.5% +1.3%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
GOOGL 3.9% +0.0% +0.0%
IBN 2.7% +3.1% +0.08%
UNH 4.3% +4.4% +0.19%
SGI 2.0% +17.9% +0.36%
HDB 2.6% +13.8% +0.36%

2023-Q2 → 2023-Q3 segment return -3.08%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
BKNG 5.2% +14.2% +0.74%
KKR 3.4% +10.3% +0.35%
UNH 3.9% +5.1% +0.2%
NVDA 2.5% +3.0% +0.07%
MA 4.2% +0.8% +0.04%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
TSM 5.9% -14.2% -0.84%
DKS 4.0% -17.1% -0.68%
ASML 3.1% -18.6% -0.57%
MSFT 7.8% -7.3% -0.57%
HDB 2.6% -15.4% -0.4%

2023-Q1 → 2023-Q2 segment return +6.25%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AMZN 6.3% +25.9% +1.64%
MSFT 7.2% +18.0% +1.29%
TDG 4.8% +21.3% +1.02%
WDAY 8.2% +9.4% +0.76%
TSM 7.0% +8.3% +0.59%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MRNA 2.2% -20.9% -0.45%
DKS 6.0% -6.1% -0.37%
UNH 3.9% -1.2% -0.05%
LNG 0.0% -3.1% -0.0%
HDB 1.8% +4.5% +0.08%

2022-Q4 → 2023-Q1 segment return +12.26%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
TSM 7.4% +24.7% +1.82%
AMZN 7.7% +23.0% +1.78%
WDAY 7.5% +23.4% +1.75%
MSFT 8.0% +20.1% +1.61%
BKNG 4.2% +31.6% +1.34%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
UNH 5.4% -8.5% -0.46%
MRNA 2.3% -14.5% -0.34%
HDB 1.9% -2.5% -0.05%
IBN 2.4% -1.4% -0.03%
LNG 0.0% +5.4% +0.0%

2022-Q3 → 2022-Q4 segment return +3.98%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
BBWI 6.3% +29.3% +1.85%
MA 4.1% +22.2% +0.92%
BKNG 3.9% +22.6% +0.89%
DKS 4.9% +15.4% +0.76%
TDG 3.6% +20.0% +0.73%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AMZN 7.1% -25.7% -1.83%
PYPL 6.7% -17.3% -1.16%
SG 0.8% -53.7% -0.43%
META 3.7% -11.2% -0.42%
EPAM 4.2% -9.5% -0.4%

2022-Q2 → 2022-Q3 segment return +1.51%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
DKS 3.7% +39.4% +1.45%
BBWI 5.8% +21.1% +1.22%
EPAM 3.6% +22.9% +0.83%
LPLA 4.1% +18.4% +0.76%
PYPL 2.9% +23.2% +0.68%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
NOW 6.0% -20.6% -1.23%
META 7.8% -15.5% -1.21%
TSM 7.1% -16.1% -1.14%
MSFT 8.7% -9.3% -0.8%
MA 4.7% -9.5% -0.45%

2022-Q1 → 2022-Q2 segment return -19.35%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
FCNCA 0.4% -1.7% -0.01%
UNH 2.7% -0.8% -0.02%
TMO 1.9% -9.5% -0.18%
V 4.7% -11.5% -0.54%
DKS 2.3% -24.2% -0.55%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
WDAY 7.5% -42.0% -3.14%
AMZN 8.9% -34.8% -3.09%
SHOP 4.3% -53.7% -2.29%
MSFT 9.4% -17.0% -1.59%
DASH 3.3% -45.2% -1.47%

2021-Q4 → 2022-Q1 segment return -10.21%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
UNH 4.7% +2.8% +0.13%
V 4.3% +2.4% +0.1%
XYZ 0.2% -16.0% -0.03%
MA 7.1% -0.6% -0.04%
AMZN 8.4% -1.7% -0.15%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
SHOP 7.8% -50.8% -3.98%
DASH 5.0% -20.1% -1.01%
BEKE 2.6% -38.7% -0.99%
WDAY 6.5% -11.9% -0.78%
NOW 5.3% -14.2% -0.76%

2021-Q3 → 2021-Q4 segment return +1.35%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
UNH 4.0% +28.4% +1.13%
MSFT 4.5% +19.3% +0.86%
DDOG 2.2% +27.1% +0.6%
WDAY 4.2% +9.4% +0.39%
BEKE 1.9% +10.7% +0.2%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
DASH 5.2% -28.7% -1.49%
CVNA 2.2% -25.1% -0.55%
ADBE 3.8% -1.5% -0.06%
DXCM 2.7% -1.8% -0.05%
META 3.5% -0.7% -0.02%

Cumulative Contribution (all segments)

Top 10 drivers

  1. TSM +10.99%
  2. APP +9.18%
  3. ASML +5.13%
  4. VST +4.83%
  5. DKS +4.72%
  6. META +4.51%
  7. BKNG +4.3%
  8. PM +4.05%
  9. KKR +3.38%
  10. AMZN +3.18%

Top 10 drags

  1. SHOP -6.17%
  2. DASH -5.38%
  3. NOW -2.97%
  4. AMAT -1.58%
  5. NBIS -1.47%
  6. LEN -1.38%
  7. STRL -1.2%
  8. TTMI -1.16%
  9. STX -1.15%
  10. MRNA -1.05%