Return Attribution — Bridgewater Associates

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Clone backtest (value-weighted, one-quarter signal lag): each position's contribution = its portfolio weight × next-quarter return. Contribution sums equal the segment return of the clone.

Bridgewater Associates (13F portfolio cloned at quarter-end weights) delivered a +0.03% return over the 2026-Q2 → latest period. The clone return is the sum of each position's contribution — portfolio weight times next-quarter price return.

Top drivers in 2026-Q2 → latest: NVDA (+0.60%), MSFT (+0.45%), MPC (+0.27%). Biggest drags: LRCX (-0.40%), AMAT (-0.24%), WDC (-0.17%). Across all 20 segmented periods, 40 stocks made a positive cumulative contribution and 40 subtracted from performance.

This attribution is a diagnostic tool, not a trading signal. The clone uses end-of-quarter holdings (45+ days after filing, so stale by design), applies quarter-end prices only, and ignores intra-quarter trades, shorts, and derivatives that 13F cannot show.

2026-Q2 → latest segment return +0.03%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
NVDA 3.2% +19.0% +0.6%
MSFT 1.1% +41.0% +0.45%
MPC 0.4% +73.0% +0.27%
NEM 1.0% +21.7% +0.22%
PBR 0.4% +48.5% +0.21%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
LRCX 1.7% -23.9% -0.4%
AMAT 0.9% -28.1% -0.24%
WDC 0.5% -36.8% -0.17%
KLAC 0.4% -35.4% -0.14%
APP 0.3% -45.4% -0.14%

2026-Q1 → 2026-Q2 segment return +29.24%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MU 2.2% +236.3% +5.26%
AMD 1.2% +182.0% +2.14%
SPY 12.7% +14.8% +1.88%
MRVL 0.9% +193.6% +1.67%
LRCX 1.5% +98.5% +1.48%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
KLAC 0.7% -79.4% -0.57%
NEM 1.1% -14.8% -0.17%
SBSW 0.2% -31.1% -0.08%
INSM 0.2% -34.8% -0.08%
HCA 0.4% -17.6% -0.06%

2025-Q4 → 2026-Q1 segment return -3.72%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
GEV 1.6% +33.7% +0.54%
LRCX 1.9% +27.4% +0.52%
EWY 0.7% +27.0% +0.2%
MU 0.9% +19.7% +0.18%
JNJ 1.0% +18.2% +0.18%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
CRM 1.9% -29.5% -0.55%
SPY 11.1% -4.6% -0.51%
ADBE 1.6% -30.5% -0.5%
IVV 10.5% -4.6% -0.48%
MSFT 1.7% -22.8% -0.4%

2025-Q3 → 2025-Q4 segment return +1.78%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
GOOGL 2.5% +28.8% +0.73%
LRCX 1.8% +28.1% +0.51%
AMD 1.1% +32.9% +0.37%
IVV 10.6% +2.3% +0.25%
CRM 1.9% +12.0% +0.22%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
FISV 0.8% -47.9% -0.39%
SE 1.1% -28.6% -0.32%
UBER 1.4% -16.5% -0.23%
NOW 1.1% -16.8% -0.18%
ORCL 0.4% -30.9% -0.14%

2025-Q2 → 2025-Q3 segment return +6.83%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
GOOGL 2.0% +37.9% +0.76%
GOOGL 2.0% +37.9% +0.76%
NVDA 2.3% +17.9% +0.41%
NVDA 2.3% +17.9% +0.41%
SPY 3.3% +7.8% +0.25%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
FTNT 0.7% -20.9% -0.14%
FTNT 0.7% -20.9% -0.14%
CHTR 0.4% -32.7% -0.12%
CHTR 0.4% -32.7% -0.12%
CRM 0.9% -12.9% -0.12%

2025-Q1 → 2025-Q2 segment return +11.25%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
SPY 4.3% +10.5% +0.45%
SPY 4.3% +10.5% +0.45%
NVDA 0.7% +46.5% +0.33%
NVDA 0.7% +46.5% +0.33%
GEV 0.4% +73.5% +0.32%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
BABA 1.7% -14.3% -0.25%
BABA 1.7% -14.3% -0.25%
FISV 0.6% -21.9% -0.13%
FISV 0.6% -21.9% -0.13%
BMY 0.3% -23.3% -0.08%

2024-Q4 → 2025-Q1 segment return -3.08%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
T 0.7% +24.2% +0.16%
MCK 0.9% +18.1% +0.16%
CI 0.7% +19.7% +0.14%
IEMG 4.2% +3.4% +0.14%
PDD 0.6% +21.4% +0.12%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
SPY 22.1% -4.6% -1.01%
GOOGL 3.1% -18.3% -0.58%
NVDA 2.2% -19.9% -0.43%
IVV 5.5% -4.5% -0.25%
PYPL 0.9% -23.6% -0.22%

2024-Q3 → 2024-Q4 segment return +0.17%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
NVDA 3.3% +10.7% +0.36%
AVGO 1.0% +34.6% +0.33%
APP 0.2% +148.3% +0.3%
AMZN 1.5% +18.3% +0.28%
IVV 7.4% +2.3% +0.17%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
AMD 1.4% -26.5% -0.37%
PDD 1.0% -26.9% -0.26%
KLAC 0.9% -18.6% -0.17%
CEG 1.2% -13.8% -0.16%
HCA 0.6% -26.1% -0.15%

2024-Q2 → 2024-Q3 segment return +5.73%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
GOOGL 4.3% +34.0% +1.47%
WMT 2.3% +19.7% +0.46%
META 2.5% +13.3% +0.34%
IVV 6.0% +5.2% +0.31%
MCD 1.4% +20.2% +0.29%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
DG 0.3% -35.8% -0.11%
AMZN 2.7% -3.9% -0.11%
MSFT 2.6% -4.1% -0.1%
MRK 1.2% -7.7% -0.09%
DXCM 0.2% -40.9% -0.08%

2024-Q1 → 2024-Q2 segment return +1.32%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
NVDA 3.2% +37.3% +1.21%
AAPL 1.6% +23.6% +0.38%
COST 2.0% +16.1% +0.32%
WMT 2.1% +12.1% +0.25%
IVV 5.6% +4.2% +0.23%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
CVS 1.0% -25.2% -0.25%
JNJ 2.3% -7.6% -0.17%
MCD 1.7% -9.0% -0.16%
SBUX 0.9% -14.9% -0.13%
EWZ 0.8% -15.5% -0.12%

2023-Q4 → 2024-Q1 segment return +5.9%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
NVDA 0.7% +82.7% +0.62%
IVV 5.7% +10.0% +0.57%
META 1.3% +37.6% +0.5%
PG 3.8% +11.4% +0.44%
LLY 1.0% +33.5% +0.35%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PDD 2.0% -20.1% -0.4%
MCD 2.3% -4.4% -0.1%
HUM 0.3% -24.1% -0.08%
SBUX 1.3% -4.6% -0.06%
EWZ 0.5% -7.4% -0.04%

2023-Q3 → 2023-Q4 segment return +6.02%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PDD 1.6% +49.2% +0.79%
IVV 5.3% +11.1% +0.59%
COST 2.8% +16.6% +0.47%
MCD 2.4% +13.2% +0.31%
SPY 2.6% +11.2% +0.29%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
BMY 0.5% -10.7% -0.05%
SLB 0.5% -10.3% -0.05%
WMT 2.6% -1.4% -0.04%
ALGN 0.3% -10.3% -0.03%
CSCO 0.5% -6.1% -0.03%

2023-Q2 → 2023-Q3 segment return -1.85%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PDD 1.2% +41.8% +0.49%
COST 2.7% +5.0% +0.13%
BKNG 0.7% +14.2% +0.1%
REGN 0.4% +14.5% +0.07%
ABBV 0.5% +11.9% +0.06%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
MCD 2.6% -11.2% -0.3%
PEP 2.9% -8.5% -0.25%
KO 3.1% -6.9% -0.21%
IVV 5.6% -3.5% -0.19%
JNJ 3.3% -5.7% -0.19%

2023-Q1 → 2023-Q2 segment return +2.87%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
META 1.3% +35.3% +0.46%
IVV 4.6% +8.0% +0.37%
ISRG 0.8% +33.8% +0.28%
SPY 3.1% +8.1% +0.25%
JNJ 3.4% +6.5% +0.22%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
DG 0.5% -19.1% -0.1%
PDD 1.0% -9.1% -0.09%
KO 3.1% -2.9% -0.09%
PYPL 0.7% -12.3% -0.09%
SBUX 1.6% -4.8% -0.08%

2022-Q4 → 2023-Q1 segment return +1.13%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
IVV 4.3% +7.3% +0.32%
META 0.4% +75.4% +0.27%
COST 2.3% +8.8% +0.21%
SPY 2.9% +7.1% +0.21%
MCD 2.3% +6.7% +0.15%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
JNJ 3.4% -12.3% -0.43%
CVS 1.4% -19.7% -0.28%
PDD 1.6% -6.5% -0.11%
SCHW 0.3% -36.9% -0.1%
ABT 1.3% -7.4% -0.1%

2022-Q3 → 2022-Q4 segment return +10.13%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PG 4.2% +20.9% +0.89%
PDD 1.6% +29.9% +0.48%
KO 3.3% +13.2% +0.43%
MCD 2.5% +14.9% +0.37%
PEP 3.3% +10.7% +0.36%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
NIO 0.5% -38.2% -0.18%
COST 2.9% -3.5% -0.1%
BEKE 0.4% -20.0% -0.07%
ABNB 0.4% -18.3% -0.07%
META 0.6% -11.2% -0.06%

2022-Q2 → 2022-Q3 segment return -5.99%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
WMT 2.4% +7.1% +0.17%
SBUX 1.1% +10.6% +0.11%
PYPL 0.4% +23.2% +0.09%
CMG 0.5% +15.0% +0.08%
BIIB 0.2% +30.9% +0.07%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PG 4.1% -11.6% -0.48%
IEMG 3.2% -12.4% -0.4%
VWO 2.7% -12.4% -0.34%
KO 2.9% -10.7% -0.31%
JNJ 3.3% -8.4% -0.28%

2022-Q1 → 2022-Q2 segment return -4.2%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PDD 0.8% +56.2% +0.45%
BABA 3.3% +6.0% +0.2%
LI 0.4% +48.4% +0.17%
BEKE 0.2% +45.9% +0.08%
BIDU 0.6% +12.4% +0.08%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
SPY 3.5% -16.8% -0.58%
COST 2.8% -17.2% -0.48%
WMT 2.4% -18.7% -0.46%
IVV 2.1% -16.7% -0.35%
PG 4.2% -5.4% -0.23%

2021-Q4 → 2022-Q1 segment return -3.69%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
KO 3.0% +4.8% +0.14%
GLD 2.3% +5.7% +0.13%
JNJ 3.1% +3.7% +0.11%
KR 0.4% +26.7% +0.1%
WMT 2.4% +3.3% +0.08%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
SBUX 1.8% -21.9% -0.38%
PG 5.0% -6.1% -0.3%
PDD 0.9% -31.9% -0.29%
ABT 1.8% -15.6% -0.28%
BABA 3.0% -8.6% -0.26%

2021-Q3 → 2021-Q4 segment return +3.09%

Top contributors

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
PG 3.6% +17.7% +0.64%
COST 2.1% +26.3% +0.55%
SPY 4.7% +10.5% +0.49%
PEP 2.2% +15.1% +0.34%
KO 2.4% +12.6% +0.31%

Biggest drags

SymbolWeightReturnContrib
BABA 2.7% -19.8% -0.53%
PDD 1.0% -35.8% -0.34%
ONC 0.4% -25.4% -0.09%
TCOM 0.2% -19.8% -0.04%
C 0.3% -13.3% -0.04%

Cumulative Contribution (all segments)

Top 10 drivers

  1. MU +5.24%
  2. NVDA +4.11%
  3. GOOGL +4.07%
  4. IVV +3.9%
  5. SPY +2.74%
  6. LRCX +2.58%
  7. AMD +2.53%
  8. GEV +2.07%
  9. META +1.97%
  10. COST +1.76%

Top 10 drags

  1. BABA -1.09%
  2. FISV -0.82%
  3. ADBE -0.63%
  4. CRM -0.6%
  5. KLAC -0.59%
  6. WDAY -0.39%
  7. CMCSA -0.37%
  8. CVS -0.35%
  9. DG -0.34%
  10. NIO -0.33%